Author |
Message |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
keithbeaky wrote: akhc wrote:  Number of horses by distance last season. So to balance it out we would need to have 3x the races for 5/6f horses compared to 15f+ horses. You don't provide any numbers to back up your theories unfortunately. It's not about who shouts the loudest. It's about what horses the trainers are entering into the league and providing a fair schedule for all trainers not just those who want 2m+ races What evidence do you have for having that many 2m+ races Matt? Now obvuiously 1m/1m1 horses will have the most races wont they? Wont they? Here's what I have planned for this season 2 year old 5/6f 40 7/8f 40 9/10f 18 Everything else 5/6f 60 7/8f 60 9/10f 49 11/12f 49 13/14f 37 15f+ 37 I agree these will need tweaking in light of the above. But that's easy enough to do. At least you agree we should base the schedule on horses that were entered last season Matt? If so we have at least some common ground 
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:11 pm |
|
 |
pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15187 Location: Republic of Ireland
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
akhc wrote: Hi Paul
I did state in one of the earlier posts I was going to go ahead. As for discussion feel free to make suggestions. I'll listen to the majority of course but I'm planning to redo the schedule based on the stats I have already posted earlier. As for cutting some of the 2m+ races, yes I plan to but there were 46 races at 2m+ last season out of 354 total. That's 13% of races. I've shown that there were only 8.5% of 768 horses entered into the league that would be racing in those and as such I think it's reasonable to cut back on those.
What would you suggest Paul (anyone else reading). I think the proportion of horses to races is wrong at that distance. However of course there's no certainty that the past is predictive of the future but if we're going to have to make some changes then it's a reasonable starting point I think. I see your point about cutting back the less populated races but i dont count my opinion as i feel i should be totally impartial im just saying b4 anything is cast in iron we need to make sure the majority are happy i am glad you are working on it you seem to be made for the job
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:14 pm |
|
 |
keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
akhc wrote: Hi Paul
I did state in one of the earlier posts I was going to go ahead. As for discussion feel free to make suggestions. I'll listen to the majority of course but I'm planning to redo the schedule based on the stats I have already posted earlier. As for cutting some of the 2m+ races, yes I plan to but there were 46 races at 2m+ last season out of 354 total. That's 13% of races. I've shown that there were only 8.5% of 768 horses entered into the league that would be racing in those and as such I think it's reasonable to cut back on those.
What would you suggest Paul (anyone else reading). I think the proportion of horses to races is wrong at that distance. However of course there's no certainty that the past is predictive of the future but if we're going to have to make some changes then it's a reasonable starting point I think. To be honest its the biggest load of crap i've heard since Steve did the schedule. I've tried to be nice, tried to explain but you seem stuck on a bunch of numbers you've got from an equation which doesn't even have all the variables. Try to explain, without numbers, why you will be cutting the races I listed? Most attracted decent fields and those that didn't provided winners for small trainers. Im sure they'll be pleased when you take the races they can win away from them. But at least you have the numbers, which you dont even follow yourself over the distances, to back you up.
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:15 pm |
|
 |
simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5746 Location: uk
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
What should happen was look at the entire UK racing Calendar from March to November put in the main meetings around a month each week will be some overlapping then put in the smaller meetings followed by some over sea's racing put it online and discuss it. This balancing act is a waste of time in my opinion Andy and Matt are now starting a discussion about a schedule that is not even put together please let Andy finished the schedule before asking questions Matt he offered to do so let him do it then discuss later.
There are a lot more sprinter's Miler's in flat racing than 2 mile horse's so there would and should be more races in the schedule at these distance's as like in real life which was we wanted a schedule that actually looked like the real thing isn't.
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:18 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
That's the problem Paul. Aside from Matt no one else really has posted anything. I do plan to make changes in line with the number of horses entered at each distance. Matt obviously doesn't agree with this. I do think that the silent majority probably don't really care  . In which case if we do go with the numbers above then here are the % of races I plan for the schedule (390) races 5/6f 20% of races 7/8f 20% of races 9/10f 20% of races 11/12f 15% of races 13/14f 13% of races 15f+ 12 % of races Compare against number of horses last season 5/6f 23% of horses 7/8f 23% of horses 9/10f 23% of horses 11/12f 14% of horses 13/14f 9% of horses 15f+ 8% of horses I think that's a reasonable compromise based on these figures. So we're not slashing the 15f+ races right back (still 4% more compared to number of horses entered at that distance last season)
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:21 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
simpleminds wrote: What should happen was look at the entire UK racing Calendar from March to November put in the main meetings around a month each week will be some overlapping then put in the smaller meetings followed by some over sea's racing put it online and discuss it. This balancing act is a waste of time in my opinion Andy and Matt are now starting a discussion about a schedule that is not even put together please let Andy finished the schedule before asking questions Matt he offered to do so let him do it then discuss later.
There are a lot more sprinter's Miler's in flat racing than 2 mile horse's so there would and should be more races in the schedule at these distance's as like in real life which was we wanted a schedule that actually looked like the real thing isn't. I agree Gray but I can't find a racing calender anywhere that lists all races. If you have one please let me know. As long as I don't have to input the data and can copy paste it into excel I can do rough figures very quickly. Your question above is actually very pertinent and that's something I'm going to be working on over the next few days. Trying to decide which races to keep and which to discard and what proportions at the various distances. The problem is we have 390 races and there are more races in real life than we have so we have to find some means of selecting what races we keep. Whilst following real life is great and I would definitely try and keep to that there's no point including too many races at a distance where there aren't enough horses in the league to justify it. Hence all the statistics I have put up over the last 4 pages. But I agree.. let me finish the schedule and then we can balance it based on what folk think.
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:25 pm |
|
 |
pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15187 Location: Republic of Ireland
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
akhc wrote: simpleminds wrote: What should happen was look at the entire UK racing Calendar from March to November put in the main meetings around a month each week will be some overlapping then put in the smaller meetings followed by some over sea's racing put it online and discuss it. This balancing act is a waste of time in my opinion Andy and Matt are now starting a discussion about a schedule that is not even put together please let Andy finished the schedule before asking questions Matt he offered to do so let him do it then discuss later.
There are a lot more sprinter's Miler's in flat racing than 2 mile horse's so there would and should be more races in the schedule at these distance's as like in real life which was we wanted a schedule that actually looked like the real thing isn't. I agree Gray but I can't find a racing calender anywhere that lists all races. If you have one please let me know. As long as I don't have to input the data and can copy paste it into excel I can do rough figures very quickly. Your question above is actually very pertinent and that's something I'm going to be working on over the next few days. Trying to decide which races to keep and which to discard and what proportions at the various distances. The problem is we have 390 races and there are more races in real life than we have so we have to find some means of selecting what races we keep. Whilst following real life is great and I would definitely try and keep to that there's no point including too many races at a distance where there aren't enough horses in the league to justify it. Hence all the statistics I have put up over the last 4 pages. But I agree.. let me finish the schedule and then we can balance it based on what folk think. exactly best to finish what you are doing then people can look at it and then comment
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:30 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
keithbeaky wrote: To be honest its the biggest load of crap i've heard since Steve did the schedule. I've tried to be nice, tried to explain but you seem stuck on a bunch of numbers you've got from an equation which doesn't even have all the variables.
Try to explain, without numbers, why you will be cutting the races I listed? Most attracted decent fields and those that didn't provided winners for small trainers. Im sure they'll be pleased when you take the races they can win away from them. But at least you have the numbers, which you dont even follow yourself over the distances, to back you up.
That's your opinion. I don't see anyone else saying we should keep those races. You seem to keep missing the point. You're trying to have races for a minority of horses. Even if the fields were fine, shouldn't all those people who uploaded 5/6f horses (3x more compared to the 15f+ horses) have more races to try and win? You're wanting to make it easy for those who have 15f horses to win races whilst the majority of trainers who have uploaded 5/6f horses will have fewer races to try and win. Does that seem fair? If you think so then you're right we won't see eye to eye. I'm glad you think the work I am doing is crap  . What variables am I missing Matt? And why don't you try and explain with numbers why we should keep the 2m+ races? 
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:30 pm |
|
 |
pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15187 Location: Republic of Ireland
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:31 pm |
|
 |
simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5746 Location: uk
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
Sorry Andy what I did with the jumps is use the Edit schedule in so5 wrote the main races down section by section on to paper then look at minor racecourse results from month to month it was time consuming but Wikipedia is good for list of uk Flat races.
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:38 pm |
|
 |
pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15187 Location: Republic of Ireland
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:42 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
Great list. Pity about the format. It doesn't import well at all  . I had seen the wiki page. Thanks for the tip Gray. I'm planning on keeping it chronological as well and adding some other major events e.g. Dubai etc as has been done previously. It still is a question of finding the balance of races though but I'm going to be toting up the number of races in each category and then trying to find races to fit those. We'll see how it pans out.
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:48 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
Here's my final thought of the night.
Off the 768 horses in the league last season, only 90(!) were rated over 110. 24 were unraced and hence had no rating. The remaining 654 were rated under 110. Yet we had 128 group races.
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 11:02 pm |
|
 |
pauloneill
Handicapper
Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2008 4:35 pm Posts: 170
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
When does Season 2 open for uploads - please?
_________________ No friends online No friends offline
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 11:50 pm |
|
 |
akhc
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 1:53 pm Posts: 860
|
 Re: Next Season's Flat Schedule
Sometime in september I think Paul can confirm
|
Fri Jul 19, 2013 11:51 pm |
|
 |
|