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Weather http://startersorders.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=7813 |
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Author: | leonvr [ Sat Mar 23, 2013 10:47 pm ] |
Post subject: | Weather |
To make the league more accurate it will be good to use the weather from the last 10 seasons as a basis for the random weather generator. So for example if Doncaster / Lincoln meeting 1st week soft good good soft g/f g/s g/s soft good good good 40% soft 20% g/s 20% and g/f 10% so the random number generator will probably look something like this 5% chance of heavy 14 % chance soft 19 % g/s 37% chance good 10% g/f 4% firm and 1% hard For a meeting like Dubai all weather will be standard but it will be more likely to be fast or firm etc Let me know you thoughts and we can get the data for the weather for NH and the flat for the last 10 seasons |
Author: | pjrhodes1970 [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 9:12 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
i agree good idea |
Author: | nashwan [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 9:50 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
Wont we be having a week abandoned due to snow |
Author: | leonvr [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 10:03 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
lol no!!! But courses like Meydan are highly unlikely to have soft ground for the turf races. And heavy will be almost impossible. Likewise it will be almost impossible to have hard/fast ground in NH in winter. As a note the main racing course will be taken as the basis for the weather generator for the week. Although all non uk race meetings will have their own random percentages. So for example in the final flat week Australia is more likely to be firm/good and the UK is more likely to be soft |
Author: | simpleminds [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 11:57 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
Sounds good to me ![]() |
Author: | keithbeaky [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 2:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
What a good idea! ![]() |
Author: | keithbeaky [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 3:25 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
leonvr wrote: lol no!!! But courses like Meydan are highly unlikely to have soft ground for the turf races. And heavy will be almost impossible. Likewise it will be almost impossible to have hard/fast ground in NH in winter. As a note the main racing course will be taken as the basis for the weather generator for the week. Although all non uk race meetings will have their own random percentages. So for example in the final flat week Australia is more likely to be firm/good and the UK is more likely to be soft Heavy should be 0% for Meydan as should hard for the NH. I know its only 1% but it is actually 0%? |
Author: | leonvr [ Sun Mar 24, 2013 5:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Weather |
i was thinking more along the lines of 0.01% but happy with no chance if everyone else is. In reality we all know it will not ever be heavy ground in meydan and there won't be fast ground for NH in winter |
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