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 Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3 
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
pjrhodes1970 wrote:
if you have backed up your ttf files you already have a head start i dont think game horses will do your breeding lines anygood now
i have experimented with this and 95% of game horses make my lines worse


You're right there are very few game horses that improve my lines but when I do find one it is a definite improvement. Case in point being my 12f horses where for months (best I could do was 2:30:2 at Epsom) I just couldn't get close to Joe (and not for the want of trying) and then found this one horse that literally allowed me to shave 1s off my times and I still haven't worked this line into all my distances yet.

The other thing is bringing a new line in sometimes isn't for the short term. There are a few horses where I have brought a new line in and the time is much the same/slightly worse but I feel it's worth doing for the diversity and in the long run I think it does allow me to go faster.


Fri Apr 12, 2013 8:12 pm
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
Updated 1000 Guineas Preview here

viewtopic.php?f=16&t=7923&p=78322#p78322


Fri Apr 12, 2013 11:43 pm
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
You can now see the form in Tom for horses with links from the fields in the nomination page


Sat Apr 13, 2013 1:21 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
5 Newmarket Dont Blink Handicap 5 0-110 Turf Good to Firm 3up Open 40000


Image

Don't blink! Or you're liable to miss this race. You might want to use toothpicks to keep your eyelids open. The Don't Blink 0-110 handicap at Newmarket promises to have a fast early pace with more than half the entrants wanting to be near or on the lead. I hear you saying it's five furlongs and speed should rule at this short distance. But this is at Newmarket where the final furlong is uphill and testing. Come the final furlong there should be someone who swoops down on the tiring leaders and takes the winners share.

My opinion of the top four contenders...

Crown Colonies from the Bourne To Win yard for trainer Greaver is the clear favorite and topweight off of her second place finish in week twos race twenty behind powerhouse trainer Akhc's 3yo filly Domnu. The 3yo filly possesses a late kick suitable for the expected fast early pace. Carrying top weight and running on an unfavorable surface may be just enough to keep her from the winners circle.

False Witness for Leon Van Rensburg made a nice run at the end in race 1 week 1 and then showed speed in race 26 week 2. Which style False Witness runs today will make all the difference. Show speed and lose? Come off the pace and win? Carrying a higher weight and an unfavorable surface won't help.

Kate Middleton for Simpleminds exits the same race as Crown Colonies where the 5yo mare rallied nicely but made no ground in the end. A faster pace and the firmer surface play to her favor.

Forte running for the author has only one run. A somewhat deceiving twelfth place finish in week twos second race. Forte was running at the end but was comprimised by a slow early pace and soft conditions. A cut back to 5 furlongs and the firmer surface has this trainer quietly confident of at a least a placing - if not the win.



An explanation of "run. style" in the above graphic. You can keep this out of the preview.

I like to assign a horse one of seven running styles. My best guesstimate of their preferred running style.

F (Front) = Strictly a frontrunner
FW (Front/With) = Frontrunner who occasionally can rate just off the leader
WF (With/Front) = Prefers running just off the leader and who occasionally runs on the lead
W (With) = Strictly runs just off leader
WO (With/Off) = Prefers running off the pace but nearer to front than back
OW (Off/With) = Prefers running off the pace but nearer to back than front
O (Off) = Strictly off the pace and at the back of the pack

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Sat Apr 13, 2013 2:13 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
wow thats lovely SiriusChill
will add to newsletter


Sat Apr 13, 2013 5:57 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
leonvr wrote:
You can now see the form in Tom for horses with links from the fields in the nomination page

fantastic Leon make life so much easier


Sat Apr 13, 2013 5:58 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
wow Leon great work mate makes life so much easier having clickable form brilliant


Sat Apr 13, 2013 7:55 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
UKRA WK3 R6 Jockey Club Stakes
http://ukratimes.yolasite.com/wk3-jockey-club.php


Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:27 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
1000 Guineas Preview - Updated.AKHC
http://ukratimes.yolasite.com/wk3-1000-guineas.php


Sat Apr 13, 2013 8:50 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
Martyn Cairns Kentucky Derby Preview (May need updating)
http://ukratimes.yolasite.com/wk3-kentucky-derby.php


Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:12 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
pjrhodes1970 wrote:
Martyn Cairns Kentucky Derby Preview (May need updating)
http://ukratimes.yolasite.com/wk3-kentucky-derby.php


Thanks to Martyn for the preview and even more thanks for going easy on me and not suggesting that I may be smoking crack and drinking moonshine filtered through toast for my dreamer entry in the Kentucky Derby - Talamo. It's tradition here in the states if you have a 3yo of any quality to enter it in the Derby. He's my best chance at winning it. He woke up big time in game to win the Derby.

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Sat Apr 13, 2013 10:19 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
yes the kentucky derby needs updating i see atleast 2 more runners..


Sat Apr 13, 2013 10:45 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
Martyn Cairns Kentucky Derby Preview UPDATED
http://ukratimes.yolasite.com/wk3-kentucky-derby.php


Sun Apr 14, 2013 7:27 am
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Post Re: Race Previewers Discussion Wk 3
great preview enjoyed reading it and even enjoyed it more when it was updated..
come on Top Bay make your owner proud and get in the top 3 in the group 1 Kentucky Derby and i will promise to make a great broodmare out of you and all the carrots you want for the rest of your life..:)


Sun Apr 14, 2013 11:40 am
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