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simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5746 Location: uk
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 Handicaps Flat
I have done Mondays Handicaps and are now showing on tom in the results Page I am hoping to do the handicaps each day the results are out and showing on tom in the results page this way Trainers who might be busy towards the end of the week will know what rating a horse as got to help them and the race secretaries with handicap races and help with scratched runners for being over the handicap band.
Flat ratings do to the field size's I have decided to rate the first week's race's differently from last season the winter Derby and Sprint Cup winner will get a starting Rating Of 110 I have started most winners of the maidens with a rating of 105 except for horse's that won really well I have put a starting rate of 108 this will help me working from 1st to last in rating horse's better.
Gray
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 4:35 pm |
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nashwan
Group 2 winner
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2011 1:45 pm Posts: 951 Location: Thailand
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Ok Gray thanks
Dont rate mine to high they are only handicappers i did'nt do much breeding for this season they are last seasons reserves Thank u kind sir
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 4:44 pm |
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Teleprompter
Group 2 winner
Joined: Thu Mar 21, 2013 2:16 pm Posts: 800
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Great work - thanks.
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 7:42 pm |
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ghostzapper74
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:03 am Posts: 4148 Location: Wales
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Excellent job getting the ratings out so fast and with the news letter.
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 7:58 pm |
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17days
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Mar 15, 2010 3:34 pm Posts: 732 Location: Oxfordshire
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Gray, don't you think the ratings are maybe a little high? In the next few weeks there are some 0-80 rated handicaps coming up, as far as I can see there don't seem to be many horses rated lower than 80 
_________________ I was only going to stay for 17 days!
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 8:17 pm |
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keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Maiden winners are rated too low, they shouldn't be able to enter handicaps off 105. And I dont think they should be able to at all. If you want them to be able to run in handicaps then at least rate them 110, most will end up in the 120's if not 130's.
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 8:24 pm |
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17days
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Mar 15, 2010 3:34 pm Posts: 732 Location: Oxfordshire
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Ignore my last post I have just checked there is maybe 1 horse in each race rated 80 or less, 30 races or so this week, that makes 30 rated lower than 80! I'm tired and I wasnt thinking straight (nothing to do with one of mine rated 91 for finishing 10th) Matt
_________________ I was only going to stay for 17 days!
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 8:24 pm |
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keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
17days wrote: Gray, don't you think the ratings are maybe a little high? In the next few weeks there are some 0-80 rated handicaps coming up, as far as I can see there don't seem to be many horses rated lower than 80  I agree with this. Horses finishing 16/16 should be rated nearer 60 than 80 imo. 25lbs from first to last is not enough, the difference in ability is nearer 50lbs, maybe even 60 in some of the races.
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 8:27 pm |
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leonvr
Group 1 winner
Joined: Wed May 14, 2008 2:50 pm Posts: 2485
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
System Gray ran last season worked well. Not many entries in the lower handicapped races but gave everyone a chance of a winner. No point fiddling with something that worked last season
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:29 pm |
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simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5746 Location: uk
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
I am working with less runners in maidens than last year Next week we have 2 0-90 races moderate horse's will be rated under 90 and should be aimed for these races but that is the trainer's option in week 3 we have 2 0-85 handicaps by then all horse's should be on the right mark. Yes I know 105 is a bit low matt and I already give my reasons I can't explain properly as race results are still to come but for instance race 23 8 runners if I started with the winner on 110 the bottom horse would be 90 and I don't think that is fair on the horse or trainer so by lowering the band to 105 the gap in ratings should be closer together and I expect all 105 horse's will be in group races next week ratings going up. Gray P.s if I mess up shot me 
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 9:48 pm |
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keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
No need to shoot anyone, just some friendly advice.
I dont think a lot of the horses rated 80 will be weighted correctly by week 6 let alone week 3. Could you not drop those in last to say 70 and then say the horses finishing fourth or fifth last about 80?
Race 23 is hard to handicap and I dont envy you there. But thats one race. If you want to handicap that one differently to the rest then fair enough, but the maidens with biggish fields need a far bigger spread. 25lbs for horses beaten 20L? The ones out the back are going to be a stone too high in the weights.
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Mon Feb 10, 2014 10:05 pm |
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simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5746 Location: uk
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Tuesday Ratings have been done I have revised my ratings for some of yesterdays ratings Gray P.s Any Queries just give me a poke 
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
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Tue Feb 11, 2014 8:15 pm |
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ghostzapper74
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:03 am Posts: 4148 Location: Wales
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
I love the h'capper  , my Miesque went down 4 pounds.
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Tue Feb 11, 2014 8:23 pm |
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Teleprompter
Group 2 winner
Joined: Thu Mar 21, 2013 2:16 pm Posts: 800
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Thanks Gray appreciate the hard work. 
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Tue Feb 11, 2014 8:59 pm |
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17days
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Mar 15, 2010 3:34 pm Posts: 732 Location: Oxfordshire
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 Re: Handicaps Flat
Yes, great stuff Gray!
_________________ I was only going to stay for 17 days!
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Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:23 pm |
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